The Pyramid of Equity Returns: Almost 200 Years of U.S. Stock Performance
From 1825-2019, equities have had positive annual performance over 70% of the time. This chart shows historical U.S. stock market returns.
✒ Takeaways:
- Equity returns roughly follow a bell curve, skewed towards positive performance;
- The chart doesn’t take into account volatility;
- YTD market performance falls within historical range;
- Recessions tend to be followed by strong recoveries – the market is “psychological” as well as “cycle-logical”.